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where the horse is always the hero
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Posted 2010-02-01 23:18:42  
J&B Met: Post Mortem Blues?

 Transparency is an attribute that should not be downplayed in the world of horseracing as you would soon find yourself amongst foes who once upon a time were your supporters....writes Raymond K Smith.

Regrettably in postmortem the truth finds itself exposed when all that it hid itself behind likens to a mere ice cube trying to smother a lake of molten lava. I find this statement rather irritatingly sad as punters risk without reward whilst they attempt to profit in the sport of kings. It is becoming more evident that following top horses is not easily profitable when you dissect the “fact pie” as more hidden secrets become exposed to public scrutiny, making ones integrity rather suspect if what is revealed has elements of pretence. Mike De Kock is truly a trendsetter when it comes to big races and that is said without pulling punches. In recent times he has been relatively silent on South African shores but when his horses are entered into the big races you are sure to get a solid run for your money, right down to the wire.

Let me take examples of why I want to make it known that recent events are waving red flags in our faces and yet we fear to raise the questions. Galileo’s Galaxy, Oracy, Dan De Lago have been taken to the Cape for some of South Africa’s major races and yet they were brought down within a week of the Big Races. I speak under correction but why would there be a reluctance to bring the horses earlier in order to allow them to familiarize themselves with the conditions of the Cape, i.e., e.g., a prep race or races on the race track of the Big Race. These type of questions certainly need answers as the racing fan should have a reason to attend the races and not excuses why he/she does not want to. Three or so months ago there was huge hype surrounding these three horses and in a matter of days their lackluster performances makes one rethink as to whether there are intentions to make a mockery of the punting public as we unceremoniously observe the “The Rise and Fall” of famous and glorious.

Here’s the comparative, Mother Russia took her prep serious enough to the extent of arriving in the Cape as early as the dawn of 2010 and gradually reacquainted herself with the Cape conditions and proved that her conditioner, MDK, was spot on. Should Galileo’s Galaxy have had a prep run prior to the Guineas, that answer gets a resounding scream of yes, as it was proven to be his downfall. Oracy and Dan De Lago suffered a similar fate, as you could see that they were in no man’s land when they cantered to the start and when they returned to the post.

Having made the observation albeit it be under correction, there needs to be a serious rap on the knuckles to get some answers. This is a founded statement as we need to understand whether the interest of the punting public are taken for granted, becAUS

e we need to know whether the form of the race is suspect for future reference when trying to find a winner. One of the questions which now hang in the air is whether Bravura is the best 3 year old Colt in the country or Curved Ball or Galileo’s Galaxy, I am not only confused but I am convinced that Charlie Laird needs to shed some big name weight from his stable and give the horses a competitive chance, becAUSe it seems to be overwhelming his options and strategies.

Bravura, a bravura performance, a dazzling artistic flair; great skill that is shown when something artistic is done in an exciting or innovative way (often used before a noun), that sums up what was displayed by this brilliant colt with just about the proverbial odds against him. Taking that performance into account I have no doubt to believe he is the best we have this season and Mesdames’ Jooste and Jooste have reason to be appreciative of the wisdom that Joey Ramsden has put to the fore when given a quality horse to condition. Considering all factors I fail to understand why Oracy, “Galaxy” and “Big Dan” were not left in the Cape to prep for the Big Ones with the more than capable Ramsden. My summation accordingly finds it logic from fact; if South Africa needs to build racing empires to be competitive with the likes of The Coolmore’s, Godolphin’s and Aga Khan’s, just to mention a few, of this world, then we need to call a spade a spade. I might be naïve in wanting South Africans to dominate the world stage but I am definitely not barking up the wrong tree. Having a lack of optimism at this stage I am still squeezing myself into that little a ray of hope becAUS

e as long as we have the Shirtliffs, Hay’s, Adams, Van Niekerks, Joostes, Slacks and many others on our soil we need to learn from each other, give the thorough bred and alternative trainer’s talent and we might just reveal the truth of our equines suppressed potential.

I therefore salute Mr. Bass, Mr. Ramsdem, Mr. De Kock and Mr. Kannemeyer as they have realigned my think tank when naively trying to defy realisms of racing, prep, prep, prep and prep properly. Not only does the confusion manifest into anger but makes my love for the equine reveal what appears to be absolute tactless competitor’s nonchalance. I look forward to a future clash between this year’s J&B Metropolitan entrants. My head said River Jetez will demolish the field but my Heart in palpitation said “Big Dan” and then finally, Oracy.

In conclusion, there might be counter arguments on the view that I have expressed but it will not dilute the blatant facts, if the weight is a burden, shed it and if creativity has an alternative meaning in your dictionary, then leave it for smaller races as the “Big One” cannot be used as a stage for experiments.

 

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Displaying 25 Results
stephan coetzer, South Africa, (2009-02-17 18:35:34) (733 days ago)
I agree with raymond, as the altitude factor has caused many downfalls of good horses in cape town..
Stefan Meier, Australia, (2009-02-19 04:49:36) (733 days ago)
Raymond,I think you're reading a little too much into it,they are horses,quoted in some quarters as having less intelligence than sheep !! Do you really think they know where they are ??
Nirmal, India, (2009-04-11 16:03:37) (733 days ago)
thats a case of being wise after the event :) it becomes simpler to read through when the results are out to explain the 'whys' and 'what if'.. at the end of the day we all take decisions, some right some wrong, and learn from them.. hopefully Mr Laird will not repeat the same in the future..
Kate, South Africa, (2009-08-18 07:59:05) (733 days ago)
Kate, South Africa, (2009-08-18 07:59:05) (733 days ago)
Racehorses certainly aren't rocket scientists, but they do know where they are, better than people very often. I suspect they go a lot by smell, which is our least-used sense so we don't factor it in much - Cape Town by the sea smells quite different from the Highveld or Kimberley or Durban, and their small brains need time to sort it all out. Till then they are nervous and easily distracted by everything new. They don't remind me so much of sheep, more like small children who are also easily sidetracked and can get frightened by experiences and people outside the familiar - and safe - things they are familiar with.
Robert, South Africa, (2009-06-13 09:43:03) (733 days ago)
Raymond this was my exact arguement, check my post at the J&B Met review. @Stefan, thre is a huge difference between the way a horse needs to be prepared for a race in CT and Jhb. In Jhb a race horse has a body to weight fat of like 4% in CT it is much higher. It is a huge factor for the punter when considering which horse to back. Just think if a CT horse came up to Jhb to race over 3200m and the trainer doesn't let the public know that the horse has been in Jhb for 2 months. Now this would change a punter deciision altogether. It's a known fact that the horse racing industry survives on the punting public. It tote turnovers go down, the stakes in the races themself will not increase like owners want. If trainers are transparent about their horses chances punters will be more likely to come back to racing. BTW the only time this is an exception is with sprint races, many Dbn horses have won in jhb and so on. Warm White Night proved that as well. Overall we need more transparecny and i think the authorities m
Russell, South Africa, (2009-02-18 06:35:33) (732 days ago)
I agree Raymond.... Kate, you could not have been more correct.... It just makes sense when you put it that way..
Ron, South Africa, (2009-03-02 15:42:32) (732 days ago)
Russian Affair cannot be spoken about in isolation. Her trainer Mike de Kock took Laverna to the Avontuur Fillies Guineas and Gluwein for the Majorca Stakes in the week before their respective races, just the same as Charles Laird did with his horses. Russian Affair was apparently sent for two races. The rainfall in the Gauteng region obviously affected the preparation of the various horses. Gluwein had the advantage of a run at Turffontein just two weeks before the Majorca. There are no doubt arguments both ways with respect to the arrival time of horses travelling from Gauteng to the Cape. It is a long (20 hour?) road trip. Many factors need to be considered before making a judgement.
Raymond K Smith, South Africa, (2009-02-27 14:49:52) (732 days ago)
Ron, point taken, but lets take a punters perspective. There are a couple of issues that leed to the frustration emminating from the series of events. Mother Russia has been in the Cape before, it will not take her, coparitively speaking, a longer time to reaquant herself, that is why it is clear that horses are not stupid and that is why there are horses for courses. ORACY,GALAXY and BIG DAN have never heard of the Cape let alone visit. What happened with Laverna....we all know, courages in defeat but the conditions told. The horses mentioned as the point of discussion are top draw sorts and we know their achievements, why chuck them in the Big One unaquainted, the results could have been different had it been done. Look at Warm White Night, if you know you will be running at altitude then you prepare for the conditions similarly. I doubt that the owners could be happy with such bad performances from these blue bloods, not because they are useless but because the trainer did not do his homework!!!
Raymond K Smith, South Africa, (2009-02-27 14:49:52) (732 days ago)
I do not believe the results do justice to Oracy,Big Dan or Galaxy ratings, as far as I am concerned the trainer took a chance and as for Nirmal from India, you missed the issue by the length of the Ocean that divides us. This is not about looking for excuses its about trying to make sense of the mockery. Post race Wisdom has got nothing to do with digesting pathetic planning. You see my friend, I love horses and for that fact I see red, because we want to be on the world stage and showcase our thoroughbreds, I want to blow our countries trumpets and beat the drums in celebration, but this type of showcasing belongs in the Circus and not on the racecourse.
Ron, South Africa, (2009-03-02 15:42:32) (732 days ago)
Raymond, I don't want to get involved in a debate and respect your point of view. I was simply making an observation based on what you had written. Actually on a personal level I would agree that a settled horse in familiar surrounds could perfrom better. Just one point of interest - Laverna actually ran a great race in the Fillies Guineas from a poor draw, especially if one considers the shocker that she ran just one week prior to that race in Johannesburg. She showed dramatic improvement.
Rick, South Africa, (2009-02-22 11:09:58) (732 days ago)
The trappings of forums like these, the problem is that most JHB based horses are overated, Average horses gets pumped up in the media and comes apart when they meet a decent field. When will punters realise this. Oracy flopped in both races over ground - ever thought that at this stage he might not get 2000m. Take into account the summer cup field was average to say the least. When these "good" horses flop we all become expert race horse trainers shouting from the stands - or is that our pockets. I dont for one moment think MDK or Charles Laird raids Cape Town to show their horses the inside of Kenilworth...they come here to win if the horses are good enough.....they take their chances, in some cases it pays off and in other cases it does not. We punt for the lure of money.....its a risky industry. The cape horses are better this season. lets follw the Durban season - i believe the cape horses will again come out tops
Stefan Meier, Australia, (2009-02-19 04:49:36) (732 days ago)
Sorry Guys,I may have been misconstrued in my sheep comment.The only point I wanted to make is that of the 3,426 different factors that can affect a horses performance in any given race I would say the races location is one of the least important.It is part of what they call "the glorious uncertainty" of racing.Lets face it,for a greater part of most flops the reasons are never established to any certainty,it could have been anything,we sometimes think we might know but do we really ?And I still firmly believe a horse does not turn up to the races and think "Oh they've brought me here again,I don't think I'll run today or Oh goody I like it here,today I run ! "
Nirmal, India, (2009-04-11 16:03:37) (732 days ago)
Ray, i do get the point you made - if only you had posted this thought a day before the Met!, since i cannot believe that Oracy and Dan were brought to CT under wraps or that Charles Laird would hide that fact from the world as if he knew that time would eventually play against his horses, it was probably more of a gamble from him.. but i do agree that a change in environment and atmosphere can adversely affect a horse's performance.. addionally, it also shows how quickly a horse can adapt to different conditions in a short span of time, some may take longer than their counterparts.. if i read correctly - Mother Russia won a Group 1 in CT prior to the Met? how long before the race was she brought down to the Cape to acquait herself to the new serroundings? FYI, I'm from Mauritius but currently in India and love horses and root for south african thoroughbreds wherever they race around the world just as you do, above all Mauritius is one of the biggest importer of south african bloodstock..
Raymond K Smith, South Africa, (2009-02-27 14:49:52) (731 days ago)
Thank you all that have contributed to this debatable issue, it just proved that sometimes it does assist to get peoples view points on an unproven theory. What theory? That horses need everything going for them to give off their best or their true potential. I just want to touch on Ron's observation of the Summer Cup...That was an exceptional Field, 80% of the Met Field I believe will see dust against MAGICAL, CAPTAIN SCOT and MEET AT MALALAMALA. Anyway I learn and I learn fast, everyday and in everyway. So to get back to my observation frustration, WE SHALL MEET AGAIN WITH THE J&B Field in KZN.
David Bird, South Africa, (2009-02-19 10:08:57) (731 days ago)
Hi Raymond, have a look at the article on Peter Kannemayer on Racingweb. He mentions one of his horses which won the Met and says he was not the best horse in the field, just the right horse with the right preparation with the right race at the right time.
peter cowley, South Africa, (2009-02-23 12:58:11) (731 days ago)
The answer is simple - Jhbg horses are way overrated, particularly Dan De Lago and Oracy .How anyone could have backed them in the Met over their stable companion Smart Banker is beyond me.He has slaughtered them whenever they have met and did so again on Saturday.This formline was further franked by Mother Russia's run in the Met together with her Jhbg form. Long may it last that the Jhbg punters ignorance of the quality of the Cape's horses creates better odds for the discerning Western Province punter-GO BOYS!!!
Ryan Nortje, South Africa, (2009-06-04 14:21:47) (731 days ago)
In agreement with Rick - Cape horses are above average and will prevail during Kzn season. WRT to the running of the Met, Pocket Power put up another solid performance by securing third place. I have immense respect for this horse and his talent as he seldom (if never) puts up a poor performance. PP you're still the Champ!!
Raymond K Smith, South Africa, (2009-02-27 14:49:52) (731 days ago)
I find it rather sad, at least for myself, that persons can make out a case of re-rating a horse because of a below par performance. I do not believe that Oracy and Big Dan are overated, I do however have an alternative analogy that the preparation programme went all wrong for the Vaalies. I cannot agree with Peter Crowley on his summation, rather subjective? I dont know but what is vibrating the brain cells is whether our Gauteng Trainers think that Cape town is a slow motion planet, because there was no sense of gusto in the information sharing media, like SAHracing.com, as to how the preparations are going and so forth. They were not obliged to do so but it would have eliminated some doubts or realigned a potential misdirection in trying to find a winning bet. In essence I am not distracted by this performance, I think it was awake up call, period. As for the KZN season I can see some action coming that will make WWE look like a marble game.
Raymond K Smith, South Africa, (2009-02-27 14:49:52) (731 days ago)
So when we come up to the ZULU KINGDOM, I want the DJ's of Modern Hip HOP to play Sean Kingston, somebody call 911, when we enter the race course!!!!
Raymond K Smith, South Africa, (2009-02-27 14:49:52) (731 days ago)
WHY, ARE YOU ASKING WHY??..............BECAUSE THERE WILL BE "FIRE BURNING" ON THE RACE TRACK!!!
Nirmal, India, (2009-04-11 16:03:37) (731 days ago)
if only Oracy and Dan could tell us they needed a prep run or more time in CT before the Met.. or was it simply an off day? You said subjective, Ray? He used Smart Banker as a reference to explain his point.. we all have our own perspective on the race and hence different ratings.. does this conclude the last last banter we had about how horses are rated?
Raymond K Smith, South Africa, (2009-02-27 14:49:52) (730 days ago)
Not quite but we live another day to reopen the views. For now I eagerly await the clash in the land of the ZULU!
K Bengtson, South Africa, (2009-02-19 16:19:27) (730 days ago)
Guys Guys Guys, its all in the prep. More often than not the best prepared horse and not the best horse wins the big races. As for travelling, on the international front horses are flown from the USA to Dubai ,from Europe to th USA etc and they win.As for the Summer Cup that was a very weak field. That form will not hold up in the KZN season. Hats off to the Cape trainers because when it comes to preparing horses they are second to none. Just look at Dunford's win in the July
Raymond K Smith, South Africa, (2009-02-27 14:49:52) (729 days ago)
K Bengtson, My punting pal obviously from another planet, do have the latest stats on which province has won the most major races in the last 20 years....if not retract your statement because it is an uninformed opinion. Who are the top trainers in the last 20 Years....if you do not have that stat, retract your statement....who are the top jockeys in South Africa and where do they come from, and that is in the last 20 years, if you do not have that stat, retract your statement. Do not cherrypick who won when and what, take the big picture and then draw the conclusion. If you have not done that then request for those stats and revaluate your statements.
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