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Posted 2010-03-06 04:39:57  
DURBANVILLE 6 MARCH 2010

DURBANVILLE 6 MARCH 2010

RACE 1:Maiden Juvenile Plate 1100m Bend

JOE'S LEGACY appears to be the one to beat on his two runs to date. Shows good pace but tends to fade.VINTAGE ROYALE form the Joey Ramsden yard should improve on a moderate debut. Watch the first timers from the Joey Ramsden yard. All of BOBBY BEAR, AZEROTH and AL MASRI should be considered.

SELECTION: 1st:- JOE'S LEGACY ** (7); 2nd:- VINTAGE ROYALE (9); 3rd:- BOBBY BEAR (4)

RACE 2:Maiden Juvenile Plate (F) 1200m Bend


Two first timers could fight it out for top honours. Watch the betting on FRAGRANT AL and FLAMING ALICE. TARA ZEN has has two fair runs and her experience may just prevail. AUSSITOT has improved, albeit it slowly, in each of her four runs. SIX SECRETS showed huge improvement last time on her weak debut run two runs back.

SELECTION: 1st:- FRAGRANT AL * (4); 2nd:- FLAMING ALICE (3); 3rd:- TARA ZEN (8)

RACE 3:Maiden Plate 2000m Bend

SEPTIMUS SEVERUS is battling for that maiden win but he could be close on an improved latest effort when running on. TUCANA finished strongly last time over 2400m. That was his best run this far and can go close. FORBES has been improving over shorter. The extra 600m may suit. SCENT OF SUCCESS has been improving. Ran well when racing at this track last time.WOOD BE is a consistent performing maiden. Should earn once more.

SELECTION: 1st:- SEPTIMUS SEVERUS * (3); 2nd:- TUCANA (1); 3rd:- FORBES (2)

RACE 4:MR 72 Hcp (F & M) 1800m Bend

SPLINTER may be battling for that second win but she is back at the track where she has done well in the past. The draw could be a debilitating fact.GRAIL MAIDEN has won twice in five career starts and looks to be one that will move through the ranks. Will be running on. QUEEN'S PAGEANT has some nice post maiden form and will make the trifecta pay. HIP HOP QUEEN is holding form well. ROZELANA stays on well and should place at least.

SELECTION: 1st:- SPLINTER ** (2); 2nd:- GRAIL MAIDEN (3); 3rd:- QUEEN'S PAGEANT (6)

RACE 5:MR 72 Hcp 1600m Bend

PRISMATIC runs well over this C & D. He has faced stronger and must be respected despite the mass. KARL has been consistent but must be respected this C & D and is capable of popping up at any time. BLANC only won his maiden last time. He won well that day but may need to confirm. ITALIAN LAKES has moderate post maiden form after having won on debut four runs back. More to do for the win but may place. AFRICAN VISION won his maiden last time. He faded late over shorter but can improve and place.

SELECTION: 1st:- PRISMATIC ** (1); 2nd:- KARL (8); 3rd:- BLANC (7)

RACE 6:MR 73 Hcp 1000m Bend

RED POPPY looks as if she is coming to hand. She is C & D suited but takes on males. ASAAL'S MAGIC generally runs on well. Has yet to show at this track but has the form to put up a good show. VANDROSS is never far back and has a chance of winning. He has won at this track. STORMY EXPRESS ran a good post maiden and must be respected. ISIDINGO must be respected this C & D. He is never too far back but has a tendency to fade.

SELECTION: 1st:- RED POPPY * (3); 2nd:- ASAAL'S MAGIC (2); 3rd:- VANDROSS (1)

RACE 7:MR 90 Hcp 1000m Bend

MASTERY has a strong chance this C & D. All four of his four wins have been over the distance. AL ON THE RUN has won this C & D and has raced against stronger. Should be in the shake up.  ULY is holding form well. Has only won or placed over the distance with one win being this C & D. TOMCAT runs at this track for the first time and is in good form at present. FIGHTING is never far back and also has winning claims in this line-up.

SELECTION: 1st:- MASTERY ** (5); 2nd:- AL ON THE RUN (1); 3rd:- ULY (4)

RACE 8:Maiden Plate 1200m Bend

TAMBURLAND has shocking current form but he is back over his best C & D and despite that dull form could be on hand to deliver a Pick Six blow. TOGA BEARER is back at the track where he made a very  good debut at his penultimate.He did not follow up at Kenilworth last time. THE ABBOTT has improved in his last two when staying on. UPTON PARK may prefer being back over today's shorter trip.STORM ALOOF has claims on a marginally improved latest run.

SELECTION: 1st:- TAMBURLAND * (3); 2nd:- TOGA BEARER (12); 3rd:- THE ABBOTT (4)

TOP FOUR BETS:

RACE HORSE CURRENT ODDS
1 7 JOE'S LEGACY 22/10
4 2 SPLINTER 11/2
5 1 PRISMATIC 11/2
7 5 MASTERY 83/10
    MULTIPLE ODDS:  1282/1

BEST BET: RACE 1 NUMBER 7 - JOE'S LEGACY

VALUE BET: RACE 8 NUMBER 3 - TAMBURLAND

PLACE ACCUMULATOR

BET LEG 1 LEG 2 LEG 3 LEG 4 LEG 5 LEG 6 LEG 7
R1 4 3 2 1 3 5 3
R128 3 1 3 8 2 1 12
R972   2   7 1 4 4

PICK SIX (Couplings have been taken into account)

BET LEG 1 LEG 2 LEG 3 LEG 4 LEG 5 LEG 6
R1 3 2 1 3 5 3
R64 1 3 8 2 1 12
R729 2 6 7 1 4 1
R1296 6       6  
R2025 9       3  

JACKPOT (Couplings have been taken into account)

BET LEG 1 LEG 2 LEG 3 LEG 4
R1 2 1 3 5
R16 3 8 2 1
R81 6 7 1 4
R108       6
R135       5

SUGGESTED BETS

:


RACE SWINGER EXACTA TRIFECTA QUARTET
1 Box 4x7x9 Box 4x7x9 7
X
4x9
X
Field
[R16.00 for 100%]
7
X
4x9
X
Field
X
Field
[R11.20 for 10%]



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