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Posted 2011-12-29 10:38:15  
PREVIEW: SINGAPORE SUNDAY 1 JANUARY 2012

After a very short break, racing returns from Singapore on Sunday with six races including the Group 3 New Year Cup over 1900m. 

The Polytrack feature (race 10) looks a beauty with some of Singapore’s best stayers hoping to start the New Year with a bang. 

In particular the South African-bred LIZARRE, who is having his first start since a heart-breaking second in the $1.35 million Longines Singapore Gold Cup. 

The JET MASTER gelding almost capped off what was a perfect first campaign under 2011 Champion Trainer Pat Shaw, and although this race is not in the same echelon as the time-honoured Gold Cup, it would be a nice consolation and a good start to what could be a very big year. 

Earlier in the card, some of Singapore’s most exciting sprinters get their chance for an early win in the new season in race 7. 

GINGERBREAD MAN – who will be looking at races like this to prepare him for a possible Dubai campaign – will be all the rage but won’t get it all his own way giving weight to the likes of EXCAVATOR, MERCHANT and crowd favourite, the rising 11YO, CAPABLANCA. 

It looks a solid mixed surface card to start the season with races 7, 9 and 10 on the Polytrack and races 8, 11 and 12 on the Short Course (A), Turf. 

Best Bets; LIZARRE (race 10, win), EXCAVATOR (race 8, each-way) and TRUDEAU (race 12, each-way).

Bankers for Jackpots: Race 9 (3, 8 and 9), race 10 (1, 2, 3 and 4), race 11 (8 and 9), race 12 (2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 10 and 11).

Race cards and Larry Foley's synopsis follows and for updates on all runners go to www.kranjiracing.com

Please note the odds listed are "reference odds" only.

RACE 7: PEACE & JOY 2012 HANDICAP CLASS 4 - 1700M (POLYTRACK) TIME: 15:55 PRIZE MONEY: S$55000

Larry says, "This race looks super even and most, if not all, have winning hopes. That being the case, we should get value for a few of these and happy to think a horse like CORSAGE gets out to very backable odds given he is coming off a shocker. But the Mark Walker-trained mare had excuses that day (wide gate for one) and given she looked the winner two starts back in a similar affair, can bounce back with winkers removed and better gate factors. Another who did nothing last start after drawing badly was BAY OF ISLAND. Trained by Stephen Gray, the NZ-bred 7YO was heavily supported two starts back in a similar affair and although slightly disappointing that day, will win again in this grade so worth following. The two obvious from what they showed last start are QUINTA DE LAGO and KOBE TOP GUN and no reason they aren't in the mix with the proverbial blanket thrown over the rest of this even field."

No. Last 5 Horse Name EA Gear Jockey Trainer Bar Rtg Wt Odds
Selections - 1, 5, 2
1 83420 Corsage     App Wl Tan-4 M Walker 4 61 58.5 10
Pay to put a line through last start when he never looked comfortable with winkers added (and wide gate) and take on what looked winning form prior to that.
2 58*72 Quinta De Lago     O Placais L Laxon 1 61 58.5 4.00
Showed last start why Class 4 is his caper and pay to follow.
3 1947* El Perigo     D Beasley C Brown 8 57 56.5 10
Excuses not to finish closer last start similar affair and worth another chance.
4 67356 Long Haul     J Powell La Dragon 9 57 56.5 5.00
Looked to have every chance last start but thereabouts and have to include somewhere.
5 54059 Bay Of Island     O Chavez S Gray 3 55 55.5 6.00
Form reads badly but never a hope last start from the wide alley and should be right in this from gate 3.
6 62791 Kobe Top Gun     D Mcdonogh Rb Marsh 6 55 55.5 4.50
Showed his best last start winning similar affair and have to follow.
7 70459 The Dancer     B Vorster P Shaw 2 54 55.0 15
Another whose form reads badly but very much appreciates first run back and nice gate - keep safe.
8 23245 Iro Otoko     Kb Soo M Walker 10 53 54.5 12
Honest and although drawn badly you would except him to play a part.
9 02556 Bowie Knife     M Zaki-1 H Takaoka 7 47 51.5 12
Always some hope in races like this and could be involved a long way if any peace out front.
10 29847 Clairvoyance     S Anandan-1 H Takaoka 5 44 50.0 40
Appreciates first up run and the handicap conditions of this race - watch at odds but love to see in Class 5.

RACE 8: JOAO MOREIRA HANDICAP OPEN - 1200M COURSE A (SC) (TURF TRACK) TIME: 16:30 PRIZE MONEY: S$125000

Larry says, "This Open Sprint looks a beauty with the likes of GINGERBREAD MAN asked to carry weight against some handy types that include EXCAVATOR and MERCHANT. GINGERBREAD MAN has 58kg - up some 5.5kg from his last start claimer assisted win - and while his career record on 10 wins from 15 starts speaks for itself, he will have to be at his best at the handicap conditions. In his favour - apart from undoubted ability - is gate one and the experienced Opie Bosson, but the crack NZ hoop will have to earn his keep given he spots the likes of EXCAVATOR 8kg's. The last time this pair meet over 1200m was at set weights in the 3YO sprint where GINGERBREAD MAN narrowly beat EXCAVATOR, so given the weight pull today, a handy gate, and good last start effort, a upset is on the cards. MERCHANT also looks well placed with just 52kg and a win with blinkers on first time (upgrade from winkers) would not surprise given the FUBU 5YO is 'due'. At the weights you also have to seriously consider the old boy, CAPABLANCA. The rising 11YO meets GINGERBREAD MAN 4kg better off for a narrow defeat at their last meeting and when you consider CAPABLANCA could get out to 10-1 or thereabouts, he might be the value pick of the day."

No. Last 5 Horse Name EA Gear Jockey Trainer Bar Rtg Wt Odds
Selections - 6, 2, 4
1 63596 Waikato     D Beasley L Laxon 5 109 59.0 25
Just struggling to show his best with top-impost's of late.
2 11241 Gingerbread Man     O Bosson Rb Marsh 1 107 58.0 2.30
Ten wins from 15 career starts speaks for itself and while a big ask at the weights, he looks the one to beat again.
3 17542 Capablanca     J Powell D Baertschiger 8 104 56.5 7.00
Meets GINGERBREAD MAN 4kg better off for being beaten by a whisker last start - right in this.
4 352*2 Merchant     O Chavez C Brown 9 95 52.0 2.50
Smart and continues great form without a result so winkers ungraded to blinkers today.
5 363*7 Happy Everybody     App M Firdaus-3 S Burridge 3 94 51.5 20
More than appreciates what was a solid first up run and keeps a few honest at odds.
6 11472 Excavator     M Zaki-1 Zl Mok 4 89 50.0 8.00
Showed last start what he has to offer and looks a horse well worth following with 50kg in his favour today.
7 47780 Fantastic Owners     A Ng-1 B Dean 7 87 50.0 100
Hard to have on recent form.
8 72*57 Mr Raffles     I Saifudin M Freedman 2 82 50.0 15
Has been disappointing of late but 1200m on the turf might be what he been after to show his best.
9 33715 My Son     B Vorster P Shaw 6 76 50.0 30
Honest but up against some serious company today and happy to leave out.

RACE 9: LUCKY 2012 HANDICAP CLASS 5 (2) (CLAIMING RIDERS ONLY) - 1200M (POLYTRACK) TIME: 17:00 PRIZE MONEY: S$35000

Larry says, "Not a lot of depth to this race with RICH BORN, SPECIAL ACCOUNT and MOOVA EIGHT all set to continue their good form. All three have drawn well so no excuses with the trio likely to dominate the betting. RICH BORN in particular looks well placed to break his maiden status. The JOHAR 4YO was struggling to say the least before a recent gear change (blinkers added) has seen him more than competitive and with trainer Leslie Khoo and apprentice M Kaki in fine form, a big show. Obviously last start winner, SPECIAL ACCOUNT, is the benchmark and gets a good chance to knock in win number five after drawing the inside barrier. His form prior to that win was good and up-and-coming apprentice, R Zawari, will be hoping to get his 2012 season off to a good start with what looks a 'bread and butter' ride for master, Brian Dean. MOOVA EIGHT was placed behind SPECIAL ACCOUNT last start - that form obviously holds up - and might be the value of the three top picks. Of the rest it is hard to be confident but I will be keeping an eye on PASHA KHAN first up after a change of stables with blinkers back on."

No. Last 5 Horse Name EA Gear Jockey Trainer Bar Rtg Wt Odds
Selections - 8, 3, 9
1 22786 Kaepeeyai     App Cs Chin-4 B Dean 10 38 57.5 50
Resuming and while better over longer, this field lacks depth so keep safe in exotics.
2 889*0 Pasha Khan     A Ng-1 D Kok 6 36 56.5 20
Resuming for new trainer with blinkers added and while maiden status is a huge concern given his chances, it will pay to keep safe today.
3 63361 Special Account     App R Zawari-3 B Dean 1 36 56.5 3.00
Winning form is very good form in this company and hard to beat from gate one.
4 55580 Redpacketday     M Suhaimi-1 Kc Yeoh 7 33 55.0 20
Disappointing last couple but goes well enough at his best to play a part - take on trust.
5 56077 Kylene     App Yy Oon-4 L Laxon 5 30 53.5 50
Has pace but should be found wanting late.
6 0000* Sky Mountain     App R Shafiq-2 La Dragon 11 30 53.5 100
No.
7 54*54 Zac Imperial     App Wl Tan-4 M Walker 9 30 53.5 8.00
Has had more chances than most so long-term maiden status a worry but in form and some hope again.
8 89942 Rich Born     M Zaki-1 L Khoo 3 28 52.5 2.50
Backed up an improved effort when blinkers added first time with an excellent - appreciates nice gate today and can win.
9 3963* Moova Eight     S Anandan-1 S Lam 2 26 51.5 5.00
Not far away from the action last time and looks a winning chance from gate two.
10 57004 Zambezi Rush     I Andy-3 Zl Mok 4 24 50.5 30
Last start better but dropping back from the mile a concern.
11 98248 Dunfalos     App Sb Ng-4 L Khoo 13 23 50.0 30
Going along OK but wide gate suggests skinny end of exotics only today.
12 8*346 Jolly One     App Jl Li-3 Zl Mok 12 23 50.0 30
Form reads OK but dropping back from 2000m an issue and place at best.
13 *59*9 Heart To Beat E1   Unfixed D Hill 8 22 50.0 50
Form reads badly but last couple probably better than the result so look for improvement.

RACE 10: NEW YEAR CUP GROUP 3 (3+YO) (RIDER ALLOWANCES NOT PERMITTED) - 1900M (POLYTRACK) TIME: 17:30 PRIZE MONEY: S$200000

Larry says, "While there is plenty of good form to go on with some of the light-weight hopes - JOYFUL HEART MAN in particular - the cream at the top of the ratings is where the winner should come from. FLYING FULTON (58kg), FATKID (57), LIZARRE (56.5) and PARFUMIER (56) head the weights and with all horses coming into this with some very handy form, they should figure heavily in this finish. But LIZARRE, who almost won the Group 1 Gold Cup in his first preparation in Singapore, looks the outstanding choice and happy to think he continues both his and his trainer Pat Shaw's great run of form from 2011. Although carrying 6.5kg more than he did in the Gold Cup, the JET MASTER gelding still looks 'under scale' and given he spread-eagled the field the last time he stepped out on the Poly (albeit Class 3), he looks hardest to beat. Of the top four chances mentioned, FATKID has drawn best in gate three and that will count for plenty in this field. The star of the HK Tan stable, FATKID put in a terrific effort to the wire in the Gold Cup and if he gets a nice run tucked away on the fence midfield or worse today, should be flying late and could surprise. PARFUMIER always looks a show (a win is well overdue) and FLYING FULTON, drawn badly in 11, has to be respected and certainly in the mix. Of the rest, SOUTH EASTER and SMOKING JOE look best in at the weights from the JOYFUL HEART MAN form line but you could throw a blanket over most with value the key."

No. Last 5 Horse Name EA Gear Jockey Trainer Bar Rtg Wt Odds
Selections - 3, 2, 4
1 94*92 Flying Fulton     O Bosson M Walker 11 98 58.0 3.50
Showed last start he handles this type of race and no problem with the company - big show.
2 10787 Fatkid     D Beasley Hk Tan 3 96 57.0 12
First run back since terrific effort with limited preparation in the Gold Cup - goes well on this surface and will be flying late so pay to keep very safe.
3 22112 Lizarre     B Vorster P Shaw 9 95 56.5 2.50
Top-liner first up after narrowly being beaten in the Gold Cup and hard to beat in this.
4 23353 Parfumier     D Mcdonogh M Freedman 7 94 56.0 8.00
Holds his own in most races but desperately needs a result for all the good work.
5 95888 Smoking Joe     S Anandan J O'hara 5 84 51.0 50
Excuses not to finish closer at his last start and the type to keep a few honest in the skinny-end of exotics.
6 16572 South Easter     O Placais P Shaw 4 84 51.0 12
Went down in a blanket finish last start and appreciates light weight today.
7 71064 Tenzing     O Chavez C Brown 2 78 50.0 40
Last start a lot better than the result and might be the value runner in what looks a field with depth.
8 11613 Power Blitz     App R Shafiq P Shaw 10 77 50.0 12
Close up placing last start on this surface and looks the type who can step up and handle this company with light weight - keep safe.
9 23294 Superczar     S Sam D Hill 1 72 50.0 30
In form and will be battling away late with gate one always handy.
10 12111 Joyful Heart Man     I Saifudin Hk Tan 8 71 50.0 6.50
Won a thriller last start to make it four wins from his last five - this is a huge test but that form has to be respected.
11 04173 My Race     M Zaki D Koh 6 64 50.0 100
Honest but looks outclassed and skinny end of exotics at very best in this field.

RACE 11: RIZUAN SHAFIQ STAKES GRADUATION (SW) - 1400M COURSE A (SC) (TURF TRACK) TIME: 18:05 PRIZE MONEY: S$65000

Larry says, "At the conditions of the race, a couple of smart 3YO's stand out and hard to go past DISTINCTION and CITY LAD when looking for the winner. And it's not just the 53.5kg the two-time winners have to carry but the form they both bring into this with 1400m looking ideal for both. DISTINCTION has done little wrong in five career starts and his win two starts back over this distance was a beauty. The BRILLIANCE gelding has drawn well again and the experienced John Powell will get all the favours and can start the New Year off with a win for trainer Michael Freedman. Like DISTINCTION, CITY LAD is in fine form and his win two starts back over 1400m was his best. And while he made every post a winner to win easily that day, the wide gate in this field suggests he may have to work harder to make it three-in-a-row but certainly looks up to the task. While these two will dominate the betting and should figure prominently, I will be watching for value in the likes of TRAVERTINE - super home last start and better again when racing on the pace - and CARIBBEAN MOON who is in terrific form and might just sneak out to each-way odds given the likely attention for the 3Y0's. "

No. Last 5 Horse Name EA Gear Jockey Trainer Bar Rtg Wt Odds
Selections - 8, 9, 1
1 17583 Travertine     D Mcdonogh D Hill 6 61 58.0 10
Bad start costly last time out as super home - goes close if can race handy.
2 0007* Stride Meteor     I Saifudin La Dragon 3 47 58.0 50
Last start OK but hopeless at the weights and better suited elsewhere.
3 82391 Mulan     S Anandan-1 H Takaoka 10 58 56.5 12
Won at handicap conditions last start and need to improve again giving weight to some nice youngsters.
4 *3605 Magic Gaia     D Beasley C Brown 5 49 56.5 50
Goes OK but better suited at handicaps conditions.
5 52231 Caribbean Moon     O Placais H Takaoka 11 59 56.0 6.00
Capped off some great form with a well-deserved win and will make her presence felt late in this.
6 60*07 Atlixco     B Vorster P Shaw 7 45 55.0 50
Hit the line good enough last start to follow but might be looking at Class 5 for a result.
7 10*8* Versailles Palace     D Chee L Khoo 1 46 54.5 200
Reassess Class 5.
8 1212* Distinction     J Powell M Freedman 2 60 53.5 2.00
One of the best in at the race conditions and this race looks perfect to knock in his third win.
9 2*511 City Lad     O Chavez D Koh 9 59 53.5 3.00
Backed up a strong maiden win with another victory and weighted here to make it a hat-trick - follow.
10 5 Arabian Night     App Cs Chin-4 Rb Marsh 4 0 52.0 50
Debut run fair but subsequent trial suggests he has trained on - tough ask but super value for skinny end of exotics.
11 15 Royal Style     App Wl Tan-4 Zl Mok 8 54 50.5 30
Lasts tart better than the result and 1400m should suit - keep safe in exotics with no weight.

RACE 12: GOOD HEALTH 2012 HANDICAP CLASS 3 - 1400M COURSE A (SC) (TURF TRACK) TIME: 18:35 PRIZE MONEY: S$75000

Larry says, "Although we have a couple of exciting prospects in RED BEARD and DAVIDE going round in the lucky last, I'm banking on a upset with TRUDEAU. The EXCEED AND EXCEL entire was disappointing at his Singapore debut but showed at his next couple that he has plenty to offer at Kranji and can win first time over 1400m. In fact the way he has been getting home the step up in distance looks in his favour and from gate one, can win. And with barriers bound to play a big part in this tough race I have the consistent METEOR MIKE also well in contention. The David Hill-trained 5YO looks best suited when racing on the pace and might be hard to pass with gate two ideal for him to show his best. RED BEARD is smart - four wins from five testament to that - but from the widest gate newly licensed Kiwi jockey Opie Bosson will be at his very best. In saying that his first up win was a very good and obviously trainer Bruce Marsh will be hoping the ZENNO ROB ROY gelding can keep his excellent run of form going and win again. Likewise DAVIDE will be hoping to keep his excellent race record in tact but he was tested as odds-n fave last time-out and will need to do better in what looks a very strong Class 3 field. With so much depth and form in this race it may pay to keep the likes of ASPEN HEIGHTS and BENJI'S EMPIRE safe at value and it will also pay to go very wide in exotics."

No. Last 5 Horse Name EA Gear Jockey Trainer Bar Rtg Wt Odds
Selections - 11, 3, 2
1 21385 Primera Espada     J Powell La Dragon 4 74 57.0 30
Turf form a concern and easier to leave out.
2 11131 Red Beard     O Bosson Rb Marsh 14 74 57.0 3.00
Drawn badly but four wins and a placing from five career starts speaks for itself and a big show.
3 82152 Meteor Mike     D Mcdonogh D Hill 2 71 55.5 8.50
Looks the benchmark in what is a very suitable race and in this a very long way.
4 44424 Aspen Heights     D Beasley Rb Marsh 12 69 54.5 12
Resuming and has form in this type of race first up so pay to keep safe.
5 34235 Kennecott     App R Shafiq-2 M Freedman 11 68 54.0 12
Thereabouts of late but still looking for a result - step up to 1400m might help.
6 1121 Davide     B Vorster P Shaw 7 67 53.5 3.50
Won a good battle last start with everything else well beaten so should handle step up in Class and pay to follow.
7 00599 Mecca Star     M Zaki-1 M Walker 9 65 52.5 50
Not on top of his game so blinkers removed but still hard to recommend.
8 10934 Benji's Empire     M Kellady-1 S Burridge 3 64 52.0 8.00
Thereabouts of late and two of his wins have been over this distance - each way.
9 4*76* Brudder     M Airy-3 M Clements 10 64 52.0 40
Showed enough last start to think he has something to offer over this distance with no weight - keep safe in exotics.
10 19121 Popi Popi     I Saifudin L Khoo 8 64 52.0 15
Hard to argue with form and while this is his biggest teat to date he will be competitive and might just be value.
11 1033 Trudeau     O Chavez Rb Marsh 1 64 52.0 8.00
Shown at his last couple he will win in this grade in Singapore and 1400m looks ideal - big show.
12 90060 New Target     App Yy Oon-4 D Koh 5 63 51.5 200
No.
13 44551 Fat King     App Wl Tan-4 Hk Tan 13 61 50.5 30
Coming off a good Poly win in Class 4 and while a win would surprise here you can include in exotics for value.
14 15871 Higgs Boson     S Anandan-1 H Takaoka 6 61 50.5 30
Had a good day out to win well last start but tougher to day and place at best.

Gear
BB - Blinkers for the first time
PP - Pacifiers for the first time
B - Blinkers
BRS - Blinkers on the right side
BLS - Blinkers on the left side
P - Pacifiers
BP - Blinkers and Pacifiers
BP1 - Blinkers and Pacifiers for the first time
TT - Tongue Tied
WK - Winkers
VIS - Visor

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