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Alabama Stakes Shapes Up as La Cara, Good Cheer Clash in Saratoga Showdown

Saturday’s $600,000 Grade 1 Alabama Stakes at Saratoga has all the ingredients for a marquee midsummer clash — a high-class field, a long and testing distance, and a rematch between two Grade 1-winning 3-year-old fillies with contrasting running styles.

The race brings together six contenders, five of them graded stakes winners, with three already past the million-dollar earnings mark. 

But the conversation inevitably circles back to Good Cheer and La Cara, whose paths have already crossed with telling results.

 

Good Cheer: Looking to Bounce Back

Until her last outing, Good Cheer’s record was flawless — seven wins from seven starts, capped by a commanding victory in the Kentucky Oaks (G1). Her dominance was halted in June when she ran a flat fifth in the Acorn (G1) at Saratoga, the race where La Cara stole the show up front.

Trainer Brad Cox has given her time to regroup, holding her back from competition for over a month before returning her to the work tab. Her breezes have been sharp, but there’s still a question of whether she can recapture her brilliance, especially with regular rider Luis Saez enduring a rare cold streak.

 

La Cara: Lone Speed Threat

Mark Casse’s La Cara enters with a different kind of momentum. A 7-1 surprise in the Acorn, she dictated terms from the break and never looked back. She’s tried the big stage before — setting the pace in the Kentucky Oaks before fading to ninth — but her front-running style could be perfectly suited to the Alabama’s shape.

She’s the only true speed horse in the race, and if she gets loose on the lead again, history may repeat itself. Already a three-time graded stakes winner, including the Ashland (G1), La Cara has proven she can handle Saratoga’s demanding track, a factor that could weigh heavily in her favor.

 

Nitrogen and the Distance Question

The other headline Casse runner, Nitrogen, brings versatility and top-class form from the turf. Beaten a nose in the Belmont Oaks (G1) after five straight wins, she’s a wild card here — her only dirt start produced a 17-length romp in the Wonder Again (G3), a race originally carded for grass. She’s been favored in nearly every start over the past year, so her 2-1 morning line suggests the market senses the challenge.

Distance is the elephant in the room for most of the field — five of the six have never attempted the Alabama’s 1¼ miles. The lone exception, Queen Azteca, comes in from an unconventional path via Sweden and Dubai, having already raced beyond this trip against mixed company.

 

Undercard Contenders

Brad Cox’s Margie’s Intention brings consistency, with in-the-money finishes in six of seven starts, including a Black-Eyed Susan (G2) win. She’s the kind who could be running on late if the pace collapses. Kinzie Queen, the only non-stakes winner, has been competitive but lacks the résumé of her rivals.

 

Tactics Could Decide It

With La Cara the likely lone speed and Good Cheer the proven closer, the Alabama could boil down to pace pressure — or the lack of it. If Dylan Davis can ration La Cara’s energy, she could repeat her Acorn heroics. But if Good Cheer’s freshening has reignited her best form, her sustained late kick could reclaim the spotlight.

The Alabama has long been a proving ground for champions. This year, it’s also a test of stamina, adaptability, and whether a front-runner can once again silence a star closer on Saratoga’s biggest summer stage.

 

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